Investor News

In this article, Michael Mauboussin explores how investors can generate excess returns by focusing on the gap between price and value, emphasizing the practicalities and psychology of expected value in investment decisions. He explains that while price is observable, value is inherently probabilistic, requiring careful estimation of possible payoffs and their probabilities. The paper covers the challenges of modeling uncertainty, the importance of considering both probabilities and payoffs, the psychological hurdles investors face (like loss aversion), and best practices for applying these concepts across asset classes.
In the 2025 UBS Berkshire Hathaway Fireside Chat, Bill Ackman and Ryan Israel from Pershing Square Capital discuss investment philosophy, market volatility, the impact of tariffs and geopolitics, and lessons from Warren Buffett. The conversation covers how to identify durable, high-quality businesses, the importance of long-term thinking, and the evolving landscape for activist investing. Ackman shares personal reflections on resilience, mentorship, and the role of free speech, while both speakers provide practical advice for young investors and fund managers.
VALUExBRK 2025 is a value investing event hosted by Guy Spier and the Aquamarine team, held in Omaha in May of 2025. The gathering brings together leading investors and thinkers ahead of the Berkshire Hathaway Annual Shareholders Meeting, featuring a diverse lineup of speakers from the investment and business world. VALUExBRK serves as a platform for sharing investment insights, networking, and discussing current trends in business and finance among a global audience.
Once again, the good people at Norges Bank have brought together a very interesting group of speakers to their 2025 Annual Investment Conference, titled “What Makes a Great Company?” Speakers include some of the world’s leading CEOs, investors, and academics to explore the essential qualities behind enduring corporate excellence, including leaders from Goldman Sachs, Novo Nordisk, Otis, Ferrari, Nasdaq, and investment firms, offering a rare, multifaceted perspective on what sets truly great companies apart in an era of rapid change and uncertainty.
In this Bridgewater Associates interview, Co-CIO Karen Karniol-Tambour discusses the firm’s latest outlook on the global economy, the investment landscape, and the urgent threats facing portfolios. The conversation centers on the shift to a new era of “modern mercantilism,” the implications for US assets and the dollar, the rising risk of recession, and the role of technological disruption, particularly artificial intelligence (AI).
Warren Buffett, legendary investor and longtime leader of Berkshire Hathaway, has announced he will step down as CEO at the end of the year, with Greg Abel set to succeed him. Buffett, who will remain as chairman, made this announcement in a surprise move at the conclusion of the Berkshire Hathaway annual shareholders meeting, marking a significant transition for the company he has shaped for decades.
Artificial intelligence (AI) and automation are rapidly transforming the business landscape, with profound implications for companies, workers, and investors. In their April 2025 report, Morgan Stanley’s Counterpoint Global explores how the adoption of these technologies is driving efficiency, reshaping workforces, and creating new investment opportunities-especially through “second-order effects.”
In his recent blog post NYU professor Aswath Damodaran examines the popular investment advice to “buy the dip” - that is, to purchase stocks or markets after sharp declines. He explores the various forms of contrarian investing, the historical evidence supporting and challenging these strategies, and the psychological demands required to succeed as a contrarian investor. Aswath urges investors to approach contrarian strategies with caution, discipline, and self-awareness, rather than simply following the crowd or relying on historical averages.
In First Eagle’s 1Q25 Market Overview, Matthew McLennan and team reflect on the shifting landscape following a major change in US political leadership and its impact on global equity markets. The report urges investors to look beyond short-term volatility and focus on enduring investment principles.
Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, recently shared his concerns about the global economy’s trajectory in a Bloomberg interview. He argues that while much attention is on tariffs and short-term market swings, the real risks lie in deep structural imbalances and political dysfunction, drawing parallels to the turbulent 1930s. Dalio believes a recession is likely, but warns the underlying issues could lead to even greater instability if not addressed.