
Aswath Damodaran: How Most Investors Get It Wrong
Aswath Damodaran, Professor of Finance at New York University, visits the podcast ‘Equity Mates’ to discuss everything valuation.
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In their latest article, Michael Mauboussin and Dan Callahan analyse the importance of ‘easy’ money. I.e. money at a low interest rate with limited requiments for collateral etc.
Not surprising, stock appreciation has been significantly higher in periods of ‘easy’ money compared to other periods.
Earnings growth was higher in the easy money phase than in the prior one in part because it started as the result of poor economic conditions and depressed earnings in 2008. But the returns also benefited from an expansion in the price-earnings (P/E) multiple, a natural outcome of lower rates. The CAGR for the S&P 500 was 9.6 percent from 1928 to 2023, so the returns during the easy money era were exceptional.
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