Search
Get in touch!
Linkedin X-twitter Envelope

Aswath Damodaran: Measuring country risk

In this article and supporting video, Aswath provides an update to his country risk premium, starting with the drivers of country risk, moving on to measures (sovereign ratings, country risk scores, equity risk premiums) and closing with an explanation of how country risk plays out in business and investing decisions.

Understanding and measuring country risk is crucial for businesses and investors. Country risk varies due to political structures, corruption, war, violence, and legal protections. Sovereign ratings, country risk scores, and equity risk premiums are essential tools for quantifying these risks. Businesses must adjust their cost of capital based on these measures to avoid cross-subsidization, while investors should consider the geographic operations of companies. Consistency in valuation, including currency effects, is vital for accurate risk assessment and informed decision-making.

If there is a lesson that I learned from the 2008 market crisis, it is that market crises almost always play out as big changes in the price of risk. In keeping with that lesson, I have been updating my implied equity risk premiums for the S&P 500 every month, and my country risk premiums twice a year.

Click here to go to the external source.

Share the news

Disclaimer of liability

The above has been prepared by Børsgade ApS for information purposes and cannot be regarded as a solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell any security. Nor can the information etc. be regarded as recommendations or advice of a legal, accounting or tax nature. Børsgade cannot be held liable for losses caused by customers’/users’ actions – or lack thereof – based on the information in the above. We have made every effort to ensure that the information in the above is complete and accurate, but cannot guarantee this and accept no liability for errors or omissions.

Readers are advised that investing may involve a risk of loss that cannot be determined in advance, and that past performance and price development cannot be used as a reliable indicator of future performance and price development. For further information please contact info@borsgade.dk

You might also find this interesting:

Karen Karniol-Tambour: Today’s Radically Different Market Environment

May 13, 2025

In this Bridgewater Associates interview, Co-CIO Karen Karniol-Tambour discusses the firm’s latest outlook on the global economy, the investment landscape, and the urgent threats facing portfolios. The conversation centers on the shift to a new era of “modern mercantilism,” the implications for US assets and the dollar, the rising risk of recession, and the role of technological disruption, particularly artificial intelligence (AI).

Warren Buffett: Its Time To Pass The Torch

May 13, 2025

Warren Buffett, legendary investor and longtime leader of Berkshire Hathaway, has announced he will step down as CEO at the end of the year, with Greg Abel set to succeed him. Buffett, who will remain as chairman, made this announcement in a surprise move at the conclusion of the Berkshire Hathaway annual shareholders meeting, marking a significant transition for the company he has shaped for decades.

Counterpoint Global: Investing in Second-Order Effects of AI

May 13, 2025

Artificial intelligence (AI) and automation are rapidly transforming the business landscape, with profound implications for companies, workers, and investors. In their April 2025 report, Morgan Stanley’s Counterpoint Global explores how the adoption of these technologies is driving efficiency, reshaping workforces, and creating new investment opportunities-especially through “second-order effects.”

Aswath Damodaran: Dangers of Contrarian Investing

May 6, 2025

In his recent blog post NYU professor Aswath Damodaran examines the popular investment advice to “buy the dip” – that is, to purchase stocks or markets after sharp declines. He explores the various forms of contrarian investing, the historical evidence supporting and challenging these strategies, and the psychological demands required to succeed as a contrarian investor. Aswath urges investors to approach contrarian strategies with caution, discipline, and self-awareness, rather than simply following the crowd or relying on historical averages.