Search
Get in touch!
Linkedin X-twitter Envelope

Bill Nygren: Looking for the next value stock

In an interview with The Motley Fool, Bill Nygren explains why it is important to buy a stock at a discount to its intrinsic (intrinsic) business value, as it reduces risk and amplifies the potential reward.

He believes that stocks will trade reasonably close to intrinsic business value most of the time, so buying at a discount to intrinsic value means that the expected terminal value is a higher than the real business value. This reduces risk because the investor is less likely to lose money if the stock price falls.

Efficient market theorists will say that regardless of the price you pay, you can get a fair return relative to the risk you incur. However, if you believe as we do, that most of the time a stock will trade reasonably close to intrinsic business value, then buying at a discount to business value beats a mostly efficient market.

By purchasing at a discount to value, risk is reduced because the expected terminal price is a higher percentage of business value. Further, reward is amplified for the same reason, the terminal value is a higher percentage of business value. The efficient market hypothesis would say that an investor’s holding period return should roughly match the change in business value during that time.

To that, we add the increase in price due to the gap closing between initial price and initial value. Note that paying more than business value has exactly the opposite effect.

Click here to go to the external source.

Share the news

Disclaimer of liability

The above has been prepared by Børsgade ApS for information purposes and cannot be regarded as a solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell any security. Nor can the information etc. be regarded as recommendations or advice of a legal, accounting or tax nature. Børsgade cannot be held liable for losses caused by customers’/users’ actions – or lack thereof – based on the information in the above. We have made every effort to ensure that the information in the above is complete and accurate, but cannot guarantee this and accept no liability for errors or omissions.

Readers are advised that investing may involve a risk of loss that cannot be determined in advance, and that past performance and price development cannot be used as a reliable indicator of future performance and price development. For further information please contact info@borsgade.dk

You might also find this interesting:

Bill Ackman: Success is Not A Straight Line Up

May 21, 2025

In the 2025 UBS Berkshire Hathaway Fireside Chat, Bill Ackman and Ryan Israel from Pershing Square Capital discuss investment philosophy, market volatility, the impact of tariffs and geopolitics, and lessons from Warren Buffett.

The conversation covers how to identify durable, high-quality businesses, the importance of long-term thinking, and the evolving landscape for activist investing. Ackman shares personal reflections on resilience, mentorship, and the role of free speech, while both speakers provide practical advice for young investors and fund managers.

VALUExBRK 2025: Get The Insights From all This Years Speakers

May 21, 2025

VALUExBRK 2025 is a value investing event hosted by Guy Spier and the Aquamarine team, held in Omaha in May of 2025. The gathering brings together leading investors and thinkers ahead of the Berkshire Hathaway Annual Shareholders Meeting, featuring a diverse lineup of speakers from the investment and business world. VALUExBRK serves as a platform for sharing investment insights, networking, and discussing current trends in business and finance among a global audience.

Norges Bank 2025 Investment Conference: What Makes A Great Company?

May 13, 2025

Once again, the good people at Norges Bank have brought together a very interesting group of speakers to their 2025 Annual Investment Conference, titled “What Makes a Great Company?”

Speakers include some of the world’s leading CEOs, investors, and academics to explore the essential qualities behind enduring corporate excellence, including leaders from Goldman Sachs, Novo Nordisk, Otis, Ferrari, Nasdaq, and investment firms, offering a rare, multifaceted perspective on what sets truly great companies apart in an era of rapid change and uncertainty.

Karen Karniol-Tambour: Today’s Radically Different Market Environment

May 13, 2025

In this Bridgewater Associates interview, Co-CIO Karen Karniol-Tambour discusses the firm’s latest outlook on the global economy, the investment landscape, and the urgent threats facing portfolios. The conversation centers on the shift to a new era of “modern mercantilism,” the implications for US assets and the dollar, the rising risk of recession, and the role of technological disruption, particularly artificial intelligence (AI).